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Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

Installation, Maintenance, and Repair · SOC 49-9021

1.9% AI Exposure — Medium
$61,010
Median Annual Salary
Bright ↗
O*NET Outlook
42,800
Proj. Annual Openings
409,670
Employment (OEWS 2025)
+3.1%/yr
Empl. growth (2019–2025)
98/100
AI Resiliency Score

AI exposure from the Anthropic Economic Index (2025); salary from BLS; skills from O*NET. See /sources.

Decision card

Career Evidence Passport

SOC 49-9021 evidence across exposure, wages, projections, postings, certified LCAs, skills, and transitions.

Proxy / seed data labeledDescriptive-only
SOC exposure
1.9%
Medium · Anthropic AEI
Automation friction
52/100
Moderate friction; broad SOC seed ORS job-requirements coverage.
Wages
$61,010
H-1B offered wage $80,600; LCAs are filings.
Projected openings
42,800
BLS EP 2024–2034; employment change +8.1%.
Observed/proxy demand
1
FY2025 certified LCAs; 55,788 postings in 2025.

Skill evidence

Operations MonitoringCritical ThinkingTroubleshootingReading ComprehensionInstallation
  • H-1B values are certified Labor Condition Applications, not visa approvals.
  • Job postings are seed-static / seed-derived; treat as provider-ready proxy coverage until observed provider data is wired in.
  • Transition matches are directional skill-overlap context, not placement guarantees.
  • This release is a FutureGrid broad-SOC seed derived from public BLS ORS requirement concepts and categories, not direct occupation-level ORS survey estimates. It describes job requirements, not worker ability, AI capability, or displacement probability. Automation friction is a FutureGrid derived score and should be read alongside exposure, demand, wage, and projection signals.

Best transitions from here

Explore all pathways

Lower AI-exposure roles that reuse your skills, ranked by a transition score (skills that transfer, safety gain, pay and retraining effort).

AI Exposure Analysis

AI Exposure1.9%
AI Resiliency98/100
Exposure BandMedium
Sector Avg. Exposure1.6%

Across AI measures

Multiple exposure lenses for this occupation.

18.6%
Consensus
Actual adoption · Anthropic1.9%
AI capability · OpenAI10.5%
AI ability · AIOE43.4%
Automation baseline (2013) · Frey & Osborne65%

Top Skills

1.Operations Monitoring
2.Critical Thinking
3.Troubleshooting
4.Reading Comprehension
5.Installation

H-1B Visa Sponsorship Demand

View full H-1B trends →

Certified H-1B Labor Condition Applications naming this occupation, FY2016–FY2025. A descriptive high-skill labor-demand signal — employer filings, not visa approvals or individual outcomes. Note: one LCA can cover multiple worker positions.

9
Decade Total (Certified LCAs)
1
FY2025 Volume
0% of all H-1B filings in FY2025
$80,600
Median Offered Wage (Latest Year)
#472 of 776
Rank by Total Volume
H-1B filing volume, FY2016–FY2025

O*NET occupation profile

What this work involves

Install or repair heating, central air conditioning, HVAC, or refrigeration systems, including oil burners, hot-air furnaces, and heating stoves.

Common titles: A/C Tech (Air Conditioning Technician), HVAC Installer (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Installer), HVAC Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Mechanic), HVAC Service Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Service Technician), HVAC Specialist (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Specialist), HVAC Tech (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Technician)

Representative Tasks

  • Test electrical circuits or components for continuity, using electrical test equipment.
  • Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
  • Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
  • Discuss heating or cooling system malfunctions with users to isolate problems or to verify that repairs corrected malfunctions.
  • Connect heating or air conditioning equipment to fuel, water, or refrigerant source to form complete circuit.

Detailed Work Activities

  • Test electrical circuits or components for proper functioning.
  • Determine operational compliance with regulations or standards.
  • Interpret blueprints, specifications, or diagrams to inform installation, development or operation activities.
  • Confer with customers or users to assess problems.
  • Install heating, ventilation, or air conditioning (HVAC) equipment.

Tools & Technologies

Microsoft Outlook · hotMicrosoft PowerPoint · hotMicrosoft Word · hotAlerton Ascent CompassAtlas Construction Business FormsBuilding automation softwareComputerized maintenance management system CMMSFacility energy management softwareHoneywell WEBs-N4IBM Notes

Employment Projections & AI Exposure

15
Occupations Shown
1.9%
Avg AI Exposure
4
Bright Outlook
Horizontal bar chart showing occupations with the highest projected annual openings. Each bar length represents annual projected openings. Color uses a gradient from violet (lower) to cyan (higher). Summary statistics are shown above the chart.

Employment & Wage Trend

BLS OEWS, 2019–2025


Occupation Employment & Wage TrendMulti-year BLS OEWS history for SOC 49-9021: 2019 — employment: 342,040, median wage: $48,730; 2020 — employment: 344,020, median wage: $50,590; 2021 — employment: 356,960, median wage: $48,630; 2022 — employment: 374,770, median wage: $51,390; 2023 — employment: 397,450, median wage: $57,300; 2025 — employment: 409,670, median wage: $61,010.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). See /sources.

Sector Comparison

MetricThis CareerSector Average
AI Exposure1.9%1.6%
OutlookBright ↗24% Bright
Median Salary$61,010N/A
AI Resiliency98/100N/A