Bakers
Production · SOC 51-3011
AI exposure from the Anthropic Economic Index (2025); salary from BLS; skills from O*NET. See /sources.
Decision card
Career Evidence Passport
SOC 51-3011 evidence across exposure, wages, projections, postings, certified LCAs, skills, and transitions.
- SOC exposure
- 0.0%
- Low · Anthropic AEI
- Automation friction
- 48/100
- Moderate friction; broad SOC seed ORS job-requirements coverage.
- Wages
- $37,160
- H-1B offered wage $40,040; LCAs are filings.
- Projected openings
- 28,100
- BLS EP 2024–2034; employment change +5.6%.
- Observed/proxy demand
- 3
- FY2025 certified LCAs; 33,368 postings in 2025.
Skill evidence
Transition context
- H-1B values are certified Labor Condition Applications, not visa approvals.
- Job postings are seed-static / seed-derived; treat as provider-ready proxy coverage until observed provider data is wired in.
- Transition matches are directional skill-overlap context, not placement guarantees.
- This release is a FutureGrid broad-SOC seed derived from public BLS ORS requirement concepts and categories, not direct occupation-level ORS survey estimates. It describes job requirements, not worker ability, AI capability, or displacement probability. Automation friction is a FutureGrid derived score and should be read alongside exposure, demand, wage, and projection signals.
AI Exposure Analysis
Across AI measures
Multiple exposure lenses for this occupation.
AI could do ~26.5% of this role but only ~0% is currently done with AI — a large capability-vs-adoption gap.
Top Skills
H-1B Visa Sponsorship Demand
View full H-1B trends →Certified H-1B Labor Condition Applications naming this occupation, FY2016–FY2025. A descriptive high-skill labor-demand signal — employer filings, not visa approvals or individual outcomes. Note: one LCA can cover multiple worker positions.
O*NET occupation profile
What this work involves
Mix and bake ingredients to produce breads, rolls, cookies, cakes, pies, pastries, or other baked goods.
Common titles: Baker, Cake Decorator, Dough Mixer, Mixer, Pastry Chef, Scaler
Representative Tasks
- •Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.
- •Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.
- •Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.
- •Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.
- •Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
Detailed Work Activities
- •Evaluate quality of food ingredients or prepared foods.
- •Adjust temperature controls of ovens or other heating equipment.
- •Load materials into production equipment.
- •Operate cooking, baking, or other food preparation equipment.
- •Inspect food products.
Tools & Technologies
Employment Projections & AI Exposure
Employment & Wage Trend
BLS OEWS, 2019–2025
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). See /sources.
Sector Comparison
| Metric | This Career | Sector Average |
|---|---|---|
| AI Exposure | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| Outlook | Average | 4% Bright |
| Median Salary | $37,160 | N/A |
| AI Resiliency | 100/100 | N/A |