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Machinists

Production · SOC 51-4041

0.0% AI Exposure — Low
$58,750
Median Annual Salary
Average
O*NET Outlook
41,600
Proj. Annual Openings
287,050
Employment (OEWS 2025)
-4.7%/yr
Empl. growth (2019–2025)
100/100
AI Resiliency Score

AI exposure from the Anthropic Economic Index (2025); salary from BLS; skills from O*NET. See /sources.

Decision card

Career Evidence Passport

SOC 51-4041 evidence across exposure, wages, projections, postings, certified LCAs, skills, and transitions.

Proxy / seed data labeledDescriptive-only
SOC exposure
0.0%
Low · Anthropic AEI
Automation friction
58/100
Moderate friction; broad SOC seed ORS job-requirements coverage.
Wages
$58,750
H-1B offered wage $55,000; LCAs are filings.
Projected openings
41,600
BLS EP 2024–2034; employment change 0.0%.
Observed/proxy demand
2
FY2025 certified LCAs; 49,308 postings in 2025.

Skill evidence

Operation and ControlCritical ThinkingMonitoringOperations MonitoringActive Listening

Transition context

  • H-1B values are certified Labor Condition Applications, not visa approvals.
  • Job postings are seed-static / seed-derived; treat as provider-ready proxy coverage until observed provider data is wired in.
  • Transition matches are directional skill-overlap context, not placement guarantees.
  • This release is a FutureGrid broad-SOC seed derived from public BLS ORS requirement concepts and categories, not direct occupation-level ORS survey estimates. It describes job requirements, not worker ability, AI capability, or displacement probability. Automation friction is a FutureGrid derived score and should be read alongside exposure, demand, wage, and projection signals.

AI Exposure Analysis

AI Exposure0.0%
AI Resiliency100/100
Exposure BandLow
Sector Avg. Exposure0.7%

Across AI measures

Multiple exposure lenses for this occupation.

22.1%
Consensus
Actual adoption · Anthropic0%
AI capability · OpenAI23.5%
AI ability · AIOE42.9%
Automation baseline (2013) · Frey & Osborne65%

AI could do ~23.5% of this role but only ~0% is currently done with AI — a large capability-vs-adoption gap.

Top Skills

1.Operation and Control
2.Critical Thinking
3.Monitoring
4.Operations Monitoring
5.Active Listening

H-1B Visa Sponsorship Demand

View full H-1B trends →

Certified H-1B Labor Condition Applications naming this occupation, FY2016–FY2025. A descriptive high-skill labor-demand signal — employer filings, not visa approvals or individual outcomes. Note: one LCA can cover multiple worker positions.

12
Decade Total (Certified LCAs)
2
FY2025 Volume
0% of all H-1B filings in FY2025
$55,000
Median Offered Wage (Latest Year)
#462 of 776
Rank by Total Volume
H-1B filing volume, FY2016–FY2025

O*NET occupation profile

What this work involves

Set up and operate a variety of machine tools to produce precision parts and instruments out of metal. Includes precision instrument makers who fabricate, modify, or repair mechanical instruments. May also fabricate and modify parts to make or repair machine tools or maintain industrial machines, applying knowledge of mechanics, mathematics, metal properties, layout, and machining procedures.

Common titles: CNC Machinist (Computer Numeric Controlled Machinist), CNC Machinist (Computer Numerically Controlled Machinist), Gear Machinist, Machine Repair Person, Machinist, Maintenance Machinist

Representative Tasks

  • Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments, such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
  • Machine parts to specifications, using machine tools, such as lathes, milling machines, shapers, or grinders.
  • Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.
  • Set up, adjust, or operate basic or specialized machine tools used to perform precision machining operations.
  • Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.

Detailed Work Activities

  • Measure dimensions of completed products or workpieces to verify conformance to specifications.
  • Calculate dimensions of workpieces, products, or equipment.
  • Operate cutting equipment.
  • Operate grinding equipment.
  • Operate metal or plastic forming equipment.

Tools & Technologies

Autodesk AutoCAD · hotDassault Systemes SolidWorks · hotMicrosoft PowerPoint · hotSAP software · hotMastercam computer-aided design and manufacturing softwareArmchair Machinist softwareCNC Consulting Machinists' CalculatorCNC MastercamDassault Systemes CATIAERP software

Employment Projections & AI Exposure

15
Occupations Shown
0.5%
Avg AI Exposure
1
Bright Outlook
Horizontal bar chart showing occupations with the highest projected annual openings. Each bar length represents annual projected openings. Color uses a gradient from violet (lower) to cyan (higher). Summary statistics are shown above the chart.

Employment & Wage Trend

BLS OEWS, 2019–2025


Occupation Employment & Wage TrendMulti-year BLS OEWS history for SOC 51-4041: 2019 — employment: 383,470, median wage: $44,420; 2020 — employment: 360,340, median wage: $45,840; 2021 — employment: 333,220, median wage: $47,730; 2022 — employment: 316,860, median wage: $48,510; 2023 — employment: 290,720, median wage: $50,840; 2025 — employment: 287,050, median wage: $58,750.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). See /sources.

Sector Comparison

MetricThis CareerSector Average
AI Exposure0.0%0.7%
OutlookAverage4% Bright
Median Salary$58,750N/A
AI Resiliency100/100N/A