Skip to main content
FG
FutureGrid
Back to Careers

Bus Drivers, School

Transportation and Material Moving · SOC 53-3051

0.0% AI Exposure — Low
$47,920
Median Annual Salary
Average
O*NET Outlook
Proj. Annual Openings
402,930
Employment (OEWS 2025)
+2.8%/yr
Empl. growth (2021–2025)
100/100
AI Resiliency Score

AI exposure from the Anthropic Economic Index (2025); salary from BLS; skills from O*NET. See /sources.

Decision card

Career Evidence Passport

SOC 53-3051 evidence across exposure, wages, projections, postings, certified LCAs, skills, and transitions.

Proxy / seed data labeledDescriptive-only
SOC exposure
0.0%
Low · Anthropic AEI
Automation friction
48/100
Moderate friction; broad SOC seed ORS job-requirements coverage.
Wages
$47,920
No H-1B offered-wage row for this SOC.
Projected openings
BLS EP 2024–2034; employment change +0.2%.
Observed/proxy demand
FY— certified LCAs; 7,914 postings in 2025.

Skill evidence

Critical ThinkingReading ComprehensionActive ListeningCommunicationProblem Solving

Transition context

  • H-1B values are certified Labor Condition Applications, not visa approvals.
  • Job postings are seed-static / seed-derived; treat as provider-ready proxy coverage until observed provider data is wired in.
  • Transition matches are directional skill-overlap context, not placement guarantees.
  • This release is a FutureGrid broad-SOC seed derived from public BLS ORS requirement concepts and categories, not direct occupation-level ORS survey estimates. It describes job requirements, not worker ability, AI capability, or displacement probability. Automation friction is a FutureGrid derived score and should be read alongside exposure, demand, wage, and projection signals.

AI Exposure Analysis

AI Exposure0.0%
AI Resiliency100/100
Exposure BandLow
Sector Avg. Exposure0.2%

Across AI measures

Multiple exposure lenses for this occupation.

29.6%
Consensus
Actual adoption · Anthropic0%
AI capability · OpenAI32.4%
AI ability · AIOE56.5%
Automation baseline (2013) · Frey & Osborne89%

AI could do ~32.4% of this role but only ~0% is currently done with AI — a large capability-vs-adoption gap.

Top Skills

1.Critical Thinking
2.Reading Comprehension
3.Active Listening
4.Communication
5.Problem Solving

H-1B Visa Sponsorship Demand

View full H-1B trends →

No H-1B certified LCA filings recorded for this occupation in FY2016–FY2025.

O*NET occupation profile

What this work involves

Drive a school bus to transport students. Ensure adherence to safety rules. May assist students in boarding or exiting.

Common titles: Bus Drive Coordinator, Bus Driver, CDL Bus Driver (Commercial Driver's License Bus Driver), Public School Bus Driver, School Bus Driver, School Van Driver

Representative Tasks

  • Comply with traffic regulations to operate vehicles in a safe and courteous manner.
  • Follow safety rules as students board and exit buses or cross streets near bus stops.
  • Check the condition of a vehicle's tires, brakes, windshield wipers, lights, oil, fuel, water, and safety equipment to ensure that everything is in working order.
  • Report any bus malfunctions or needed repairs.
  • Pick up and drop off students at regularly scheduled neighborhood locations, following strict time schedules.

Detailed Work Activities

  • Follow safety procedures for vehicle operation.
  • Inspect motor vehicles.
  • Drive passenger vehicles.
  • Report vehicle or equipment malfunctions.
  • Assist motorists or pedestrians.

Tools & Technologies

Microsoft Windows · hotAOL MapQuestWeb browser software

Employment Projections & AI Exposure

15
Occupations Shown
0.8%
Avg AI Exposure
6
Bright Outlook
Horizontal bar chart showing occupations with the highest projected annual openings. Each bar length represents annual projected openings. Color uses a gradient from violet (lower) to cyan (higher). Summary statistics are shown above the chart.

Employment & Wage Trend

BLS OEWS, 2019–2025


Occupation Employment & Wage TrendMulti-year BLS OEWS history for SOC 53-3051: 2021 — employment: 361,420, median wage: $37,910; 2022 — employment: 366,550, median wage: $41,270; 2023 — employment: 371,530, median wage: $45,660; 2025 — employment: 402,930, median wage: $47,920.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). See /sources.

Sector Comparison

MetricThis CareerSector Average
AI Exposure0.0%0.2%
OutlookAverage20% Bright
Median Salary$47,920N/A
AI Resiliency100/100N/A