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Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

Transportation and Material Moving · SOC 53-3052

0.0% AI Exposure — Low
$59,050
Median Annual Salary
Average
O*NET Outlook
Proj. Annual Openings
159,240
Employment (OEWS 2025)
-2%/yr
Empl. growth (2019–2025)
100/100
AI Resiliency Score

AI exposure from the Anthropic Economic Index (2025); salary from BLS; skills from O*NET. See /sources.

Decision card

Career Evidence Passport

SOC 53-3052 evidence across exposure, wages, projections, postings, certified LCAs, skills, and transitions.

Proxy / seed data labeledDescriptive-only
SOC exposure
0.0%
Low · Anthropic AEI
Automation friction
49/100
Moderate friction; broad SOC seed ORS job-requirements coverage.
Wages
$59,050
No H-1B offered-wage row for this SOC.
Projected openings
BLS EP 2024–2034; employment change +4.3%.
Observed/proxy demand
FY— certified LCAs; 3,062 postings in 2025.

Skill evidence

Operation and ControlOperations MonitoringActive ListeningCritical ThinkingService Orientation

Transition context

  • H-1B values are certified Labor Condition Applications, not visa approvals.
  • Job postings are seed-static / seed-derived; treat as provider-ready proxy coverage until observed provider data is wired in.
  • Transition matches are directional skill-overlap context, not placement guarantees.
  • This release is a FutureGrid broad-SOC seed derived from public BLS ORS requirement concepts and categories, not direct occupation-level ORS survey estimates. It describes job requirements, not worker ability, AI capability, or displacement probability. Automation friction is a FutureGrid derived score and should be read alongside exposure, demand, wage, and projection signals.

AI Exposure Analysis

AI Exposure0.0%
AI Resiliency100/100
Exposure BandLow
Sector Avg. Exposure0.2%

Across AI measures

Multiple exposure lenses for this occupation.

24.4%
Consensus
Actual adoption · Anthropic0%
AI capability · OpenAI24.1%
AI ability · AIOE49.2%
Automation baseline (2013) · Frey & Osborne67%

AI could do ~24.1% of this role but only ~0% is currently done with AI — a large capability-vs-adoption gap.

Top Skills

1.Operation and Control
2.Operations Monitoring
3.Active Listening
4.Critical Thinking
5.Service Orientation

H-1B Visa Sponsorship Demand

View full H-1B trends →

No H-1B certified LCA filings recorded for this occupation in FY2016–FY2025.

O*NET occupation profile

What this work involves

Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.

Common titles: Bus Driver, Bus Operator, Charter Bus Driver, Coach Operator, Motor Coach Driver, Motor Coach Operator

Representative Tasks

  • Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.
  • Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.
  • Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.
  • Announce stops to passengers.
  • Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.

Detailed Work Activities

  • Drive passenger vehicles.
  • Follow safety procedures for vehicle operation.
  • Inspect motor vehicles.
  • Measure the level or depth of water or other liquids.
  • Provide transportation information to passengers or customers.

Tools & Technologies

Microsoft Windows · hotAOL MapQuestMicrosoft MapPointWeb browser software

Employment Projections & AI Exposure

15
Occupations Shown
0.8%
Avg AI Exposure
6
Bright Outlook
Horizontal bar chart showing occupations with the highest projected annual openings. Each bar length represents annual projected openings. Color uses a gradient from violet (lower) to cyan (higher). Summary statistics are shown above the chart.

Employment & Wage Trend

BLS OEWS, 2019–2025


Occupation Employment & Wage TrendMulti-year BLS OEWS history for SOC 53-3052: 2019 — employment: 179,510, median wage: $43,030; 2020 — employment: 162,850, median wage: $45,900; 2021 — employment: 145,720, median wage: $48,620; 2022 — employment: 141,530, median wage: $50,890; 2023 — employment: 184,990, median wage: $60,170; 2025 — employment: 159,240, median wage: $59,050.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS). See /sources.

Sector Comparison

MetricThis CareerSector Average
AI Exposure0.0%0.2%
OutlookAverage20% Bright
Median Salary$59,050N/A
AI Resiliency100/100N/A